Download A Systems-Based Approach to Policymaking by Kenyon B. De Greene (auth.), Kenyon B. De Greene (eds.) PDF

By Kenyon B. De Greene (auth.), Kenyon B. De Greene (eds.)

This publication relies on a couple of platforms suggestions, of which the subsequent are emphasised right here: oThe interacting structures of society and the surroundings are dynamic and evolution­ ary oEvolution of those platforms incorporates them via phases of differential balance and instability, continuity and discontinuity oAssociated with evolution and instability is structural swap that's primarily irre­ versible oThe current is a degree of global transformation that won't were equaled for many years or perhaps centuries oPolicies and judgements needs to fit the days, within the current case the level of global transformation The time 11:59:59 PM, nearly, on December 31, 2000 has an impor­ tant symbolic which means. It marks the tip of a minute, the tip of an hour, the top of an afternoon, the top of a 12 months, the tip of a decade, the top of a century, and the tip of a millennium. The time and date supply a handy yardstick opposed to which we will evaluation the evolution of our considering and the adequacy of our assumptions, psychological types, paradigms, and guidelines. Will the start tum out to be thoroughly dif­ ferent from the tip? we are hoping that this ebook is beneficial in such overview. it is a new-paradigm publication, which either provides and advances the recent frame of mind concerning the structures of technology, expertise, society, economics, politics, and the surroundings, and actively demands the substitute of the worn­ out cognitive/sociotechnical paradigm.

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The Swiss psychiatrist Carl Jung described a collective conscious and unconscious, and other writers have referred to collective perception and collective intelligence. As discussed 24 A SYSTEMS-BASED APPROACH TO POLICYMAKING in Chapter 4, coherent or collective behavior emerges out of interactions at a more micro-level. The Kondratiev phenomenon is also macropsychological. The psychological climate of the times (an "order parameter"), generated from individual interactions, in turn affects individual willingness to tryout new ideas and to take risks.

The new policymaking will place heavy cognitive demands on all stakeholders. In addition, a new rationality must be recognized, a rationality that incorporates the emotional and value investments that all people make in their beliefs. Needed is an epistemic thinking coupled with a search for broader sets of values. Chapters 5,6, 7, 8, and 9 discuss ways of upgrading systems thinking and the education of policymakers. Chapters 2, 3, and 7 present formal models that are applicable to a variety of policy situations.

Fifth, the limit or carrying capacity K mayor may not be stable. If stable, a system may become locked into a period of prolonged stagnation, or even be forced into a dive of diminishing returns. If unstable, the system may shoot through the ceiling or limit, destroying the carrying capacity or initiating a new stage of growth. This behavior is characteristic of evolutionary systems. The result may be families of often overlapping logistic functions or of logistic functions followed by diminishing returns.

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